Minnesota Futurists 2011 Home Page
2011 Current Meeting & Topic Schedule
Past Meeting Menu
January 2, 2010
Future Studies
Topic: Chaos and the Study of the Future -- Part 1)
Speaker: George Kubik
Abstract: Everyone knows what chaos is. It’s the freeway at rush hour, the last minute presentation at the office, or the behavior of your investments. Chaos is often defined as randomness or disorder. But chaos is not the lack of order. It is unorder.
This presentation addressed the subject of chaos in physical and biological systems. It also explored the growing importance of chaos to futures thinking. Join us in developing an understanding of chaos as a component of the emerging new science of complexity. (Part 2 will follow Feb. 6.)
January 9, 2010
Economic and Financial Futures SIG
Topic: After the Nasty Noughties, What's Ahead for Securities Markets?
Speaker: Dick Saunders
Moderator: Bob Friskney
Abstract: The decade of 2000-2009 -- "the noughties" -- produced the worst stock market results since statisticians began keeping such records in the 1820's. We'll recount some Top Ten lists of best and worst stocks and markets during the last 10 years, and look at some possible growth sectors for 2010-2020. Bring your ideas for both one-year and ten years.
Reference links:
Turn, Turn, Turn … the Pages to a New Decade! by Liz Ann Sonders 04jan10
http://www.minyanville.com/articles/real%20estate-wachovia-fannie-freddie-jpmorgan-aig-citigroup-bank%20of%20america-morgan%20stanley-wells%20fargo-goldman%20sachs-deflation-homebuyers/index/a/26208?page=full
January 16, 2010
Technology Futures SIG
Topic: Nanotechnology Update
1) in Medicine - The Latest News - Focus - Cancer Detection and Treament
2) in Water Treatment - Update from EU conference
RESCHEDULED TO A LATER DATE
Speaker: David Keenan
Abstract: Recent announcements of a nano-cocktail approach to treat cancer will be compared to prior announcements and concepts. What is the latest and which approaches are in clinical trials?
Presentation: HO Nanotechnology for Cancer 16Jan2010.ppt
January 23, 2010
Society, Management & Education SIG
Topic: TechCast Global Megacrisis Survey
Speaker: David Grider
Abstract: William Halal and Michael Marien take 2 sides of a discussion on what they call the biggest issue of our times -- the global megacrisis. We will talk about their survey, as well as a few other resources:
The End of the Long Summer by Dianne Dumanoski (particularly ch. 7 On Vulnerability and Survivability), Peak Everything by Richard Heinberg of the www.postcarbon.org, and the Nature Special on Planetary Boundaries. Megacrisis Survey Results & Planitary Boundaries.ppt
Reference links:
Global Megacrisis by William Halal and Michael Marien
Planetary Boundaries Nature News
Our Stolen Future by Theo Colborn, Diane Dumanoski, John Peterson Myer
Pacific's rising acid levels threatening marine life Seattle Times - 20 Jan 10, by Sandi Doughton
Institute on the Environment University of Minnesota
January 30, 2010
Society, Management and Education SIG
Topic: Tapping Into Your Dreams as a Futurist Planning Tool
Speaker: Bill Peter
Abstract: Bill Peter has conducted many Dream Workshops and has personally found that tapping into his dreams is a very valuable Futurist planning tool for his consulting work. In this workshop Bill will describe his findings and give the attendees an opportunity to discuss their own dreams briefly with a chance to discuss the processes for using them as a planning tool in an individual's life.
February 06, 2010
Future Studies
Topic: Chaos Theory -- Part 2
Speaker: George Kubik
Abstract: A continuation of the analysis of Chaos Theory and a class exercise, carried over from Jan. 2.
February 09, 2010 Tuesday - 6 pm MN Futurist Board Mtg
All members welcome.
February 13, 2010
Economic and Financial Futures SIG
Title: Economic Conflict: Are We On The Road To Recovery In 2010?
Topic: Caution: Economic forecasts are like a lottery
Speaker: Jim Zitek
Abstract: Everyday, I hear from businessmen, executives and other well informed people that they often feel confused about the direction and health of our economy. Worse yet, this confusion soon becomes frustration because no sooner does one "expert" tell us where the economy is headed, then another "expert" says the exact opposite.
You can eliminate both confusion and your frustration when you understand the three major approaches economists use to analyze the economy: the demand-side approach, the supply-side approach and the classical liberal approach. It is important to know how these approaches differ and how they would handle different issues. For example, what do the different approaches think causes inflation or how would they handle a stimulus program or the healthcare program?
Once you know this, the "experts" and their conflicting analyses will actually make sense. From this vantage point, I discuss the direction of the economy in depth. You will know which policies are likely to be proposed and which pieces of data each approach considers critical. More importantly, you can immediately apply the skills learned in my presentation to better understand the real economy and where it's headed. Plus which critical issues down the road could change that direction.
February 20, 2010
Technology Futures SIG
Topic: Technology Potpourri
Speakers: Hank Lederer and BrianToren
Abstract: Come for a fast paced review of 24 approaches to rebuilding America’s infrastructure. Five areas of the Infrastructure will be addressed: transportation, water, power, telecom, and sewage. But stick around there's more, free e-learning, an overview of websites offering college and other courses at no charge - does not include text books. If time permits–even more, several selected short subjects will be presented.
Presentation Slides: Rebuilding America.pdf
February 27, 2010
Society, Management & Education SIG
Topic: The Future of Finding Alternative Fuels
Speaker: Kavi Turnbull <kavi.turnbull@drivealternatives.com>
Abstract: DriveAlternatives is the first website to map over 9,000 US alternative fuel stations Driving green is a booming trend in the US but continues to challenge consumers. Currently consumers must research vehicles as well as locate alternative fuel sources near them. Kavi has insights to this problem he would like to present.
More info: Drive Alternatives
March 6, 2010
Future Studies SIG
Topic: Future issues of Information-Knowledge-Innovation Governance in Natural Resource Management
Speaker: George Kubik
Abstract: At a time when data, information, knowledge, and innovation resources are dramatically expanding, enterprises are often unprepared for the resulting governance issues. This presentation examines the evolving factors involved in future governance decisions and policies in this important aspect of the future. The impacts of emerging changes in computers, computer-processing, sensor-effector arrays, performance amplification, multiple-scale networks, and a variety of technology and social variables will be addressed and considered.
Futures Methodology Employed: Cross-impact analysis is a major futures methodology that is commonly used to study complex relationships impacting alternative futures. This technique will be reviewed and applied to the study and examination of futures issues of information, knowledge, and Innovation governance in natural resource management.
March 13, 2010
Transportation Futures SIG
Topic: High Speed Rail's Future in the U.S. -- Part 2
Speakers: Bob Friskney and Dick Saunders
Abstract: The first $8 billion in grants announced in January by the Federal Railroad Administration for upgrading rail corridors for faster passenger train service were spread among 21 states. We'll review the five major corridors and the Minnesota state plan, view two videos of bullet trains, and suggest the lineup of major competitors for train construction projects. The big question: can rail service recover a glimmer of the Golden Age of Rail in the face of entrenched air and auto travel habits.
And we'll ask whether
March 20, 2010
Technology Futures SIG
Topic: The Blue Brain Project & The Singularity
Speaker: Eric Hand
Abstract:
Since at least 1999, futurist Ray Kurzweil has been predicting that computers would be passing forms of the Turing Test by 2029 as part of a generally exponentially increasing advance in technology, especially in genetics, nanotech, and robotics. He further predicts that because superhuman intelligence will increasing influence the course of civilization, it is practically impossible for us to predict much about the future beyond about 2045.
Somewhat over a year ago, IBM, working with a Swiss University, began an extremely ambitious ten year project to create an electronic simulation of the functionality of the human neocortex. They now claim to have simulated a mouse neocortical column. To the extent this is accurate, it is very impressive, and supports the idea that Kurzweil's widely doubted predictions may be on track.
Reference links:
The Singularity: Speech By Ray Kurzweil at the TED conf. 2009 (23:41)
Ray Kurzweil's AI/Singularity website
Bluebrain PowerPoint
March 27, 2010
Society, Management & Education SIG - Special Session
Topic: Breakthrough Nanotechnology Companies
Speaker: David Keenan
Abstract: This talk will provide a brief introduction to over 20 companies manufacturing and selling materials and products based on nanotechnology.
After the presentation the group will devote remaining time to chapter business.
Top Priority projects for 2010 Minnesota Futurists goals update 23mar10.pdf
April 3, 2010
Future Studies SIG
Topic: The Future of RFID
Speaker: George Kubik
Abstract: Ever wonder how clothing stores actively monitor their inventories, how ranchers track their cattle, or how the military keeps track of their weapons? The growing answer to this question is “Radio-frequency identification (RFID)” tags. This Saturday we will review recent developments in this exciting new technology, and examine major trends that are shaping the future of this emerging technology.
Also this Saturday, we will examine the development and application of scenario methodologies in conducting futures research. Be prepared to participate in the development of several group scenarios addressing RFID futures.
April 10, 2010
Economic and Financial Futures SIG
Topic: The Future of the TelePresence Industry
Speakers: Dick Saunders & Rog Rydberg
Abstract: Fostering Collaboration Anywhere at very low costs.What impact will teleconferencing have on the travel, hotel and dining industries as the technology improves and prices decline? A look at the players and their strategies.
Reference:
http://www.cisco.com/en/US/netsol/ns669/networking_solutions_solution_segment_home.html
Telepresence Costs
hpl_telepresence_paper.pdf
TelepresencePPT.ppt
Is This Trip worth it
April 17, 2010
Technology Futures SIG
Topic: Television Futures - 3D
Speakers: Hank Lederer & Ron Monroe
Abstract: You can now buy 3D TV at Best Buy. It's expensive and is limited by lack of DVDs and 3D broadcasts. But, will it become as popular as HDTV is now? This presentation provides contrasting views.
April 24, 2010
Society, Management and Education SIG
Topic: The Future of Religion
Speakers: Dick Saunders, Roger Rydberg and Jerry Machalek
Abstract: Why have megachurches surged while mainstream Protestant churches declined in the past 50 years? Are we "more religious or less" as a people. What are churches doing to prepare for the next generation's spiritual needs in an age of multiculturalism and aging? A review of prominent thinkers' books, articles and web blogs on the subject, and a mini-survey of Twin Cities church outreach agendas.
Charts :Religion Sig Charts And Graphs
Resources:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y4mzt4qKrPM&feature=user
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vgONKKcFQUw&NR=1
http://www.peterrussell.com/TV/vidcall/GB.php
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_God_Delusion
Reference:
http://www.wfs.org/April-May2010/Democracy.htm
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6-3X5hIFXYU
:http://www.archspm.org/news-events/news-detail.php?intResourceID=2464
http://www.archspm.org/reference/columns-speeches-detail.php?intResourceID=2438
Globalvillage12_1.pps
Bonus graphics at the end of lead-in slides (David K) MNF leadin 24apr10.ppt
http://www.fordham.edu/Campus_Resources/eNewsroom/topstories_1736.asp
May 1, 2010
Future Studies SIG
Topic: Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Futures
Speaker: George Kubik
Abstract: Seeing dust motes in the air? Check again! You may be seeing the next generation of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs).
This seminar examines the status and future of UAVs, as well as the expanding uses of these systems. The application of UAVs in both military and non-military areas is accelerating into domains that are deemed too dull, dangerous, or expensive for human-piloted aircraft. The future of both autonomous and remotely controlled UAVs will be addressed. The discussion will include UAV developments at the micro and nano scales.
This month, we will also address another methodology for futures studies. The subject of Genius Forecasting (or expert forecasting) will be reviewed. The seminar will include an opportunity to use genius forecasting in a practical application.
May 8, 2009
Business/Market SIG
Topic: The Future of Wall Street Ethics
Speaker: Rog Rydberg & Dick Saunders
Abstract:
What has caused the decline in Wall Street ethics over the past 10 years? Does taking both sides of a new security create a moral dilemma -- or are such practices merely "business as usual?" What are possible, probable and preferred outcomes of some Democratic senators to publicly condemn Goldman Sachs for alleged ethics violations, of an SEC civil suit for lack of disclosure, and of criminal charges against a trader?
What will be the final shape of a financial reform bill?
References:The Future of Wall Street Ethics References
May 15, 2010
Technology SIG
Topic: History of the World from 2101
Speaker: Brian Toren and Hank Lederer
Moderator: Roger Rydberg
Abstract: A view of the 21st Century from the beginning of the next century. Two intrepid explorers report on the current century from the future. Then they go out on a limb and forecast the 22nd Century and even beyond. They stop at the heat death of the universe.
History of the World in a Nutshell
Future Time Line Source for History and a Nutshell
Presentation http://www.futuretimeline.net/index.htm
May 22, 2010
Technology Futures SIG
Topic: Technology Potpourri
Speakers: Hank Lederer, Ron Monroe, Dave Grider, Tom Trite, Bill Peter
Abstract: Come for a fast paced 10 minute sessions on new approaches to America’s Future.
May 29, 2010
Management SIG
Topic: World Class Innovation
Speaker: Bill Peter
Abstract:
Bill Peter will describe a new "strategic thinking process" that is being explored for implementation over the next 25 years worldwide covering business, government, education, healthcare, and not-fo-profit organizations. This workshop will be highly interactive, rather than a lecture.
Resources:
Bill Peter Background.doc
World Class Innovation.doc
World Class Innovation Institute.doc
Additional reference: Global Innovation Index 2009
http://www.globalinnovationindex.org/gii/main/home.cfm (David K)
June 5, 2010
Economics SIG
Topic: Oil, Gas and Alternative Energy Futures
Speakers: Dick Saunders & Roger Rydberg
Abstract: Impact of World Energy Resources on US Economy including trade-offs of green options.
Reference: Energy SIG References June 2010
oildrum-what-us-government-eia-forecasting-respect-us-oil-production-and-renewable-energy
theoildrum2010forecast.pdf
Crack Spread http://moneymorning.com/2010/05/23/petroleum-supply-glut/ (David K)
June 12, 2010
Futures SIG and Minnesota Futurists ANNUAL MEETING
Annual Meeting (80 minutes)
- Treasurer's Report
- President's Report
Topic: Augmented Reality In Your Future
Speaker: George Kubik, PhD Anticipatory Futures Group, LLC
Abstract: Augmented reality is an emerging technology that is quietly changing how we work and play. Meanwhile, fast paced change and rising complexity are driving the demand to remove a least a part of the ‘cognitive overload’ that threatens our ability to function in increasingly prevelant and highly demanding knowledge environments. Augmented reality is presented as a major approach towards intelligence augmentation (IA) in our daily lives, and a key element in performance enhancement. Please join us in a lively presentation and discussion of future opportunities in the area of Augmented Intelligence.
June 19, 2010
Technology SIG
Topic: Looking Back from 2101 to 12 of the 21st Century:
"12 Events That Changed the World"
Speakers: Hank Lederer and Brian Toren
Abstract: Brian and Hank found the missing mass of life changing events as they dug deeper into the history (i.e., Future History) of the 21st Century. This exciting presentation is augmented with an interactive interface with Scientific American (Jokes will be included at no extra charge).
Reference:
12 Events that Changed the World PDF
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=interactive-12-events
Access to the Scientific Interactive Site: http://tinyurl.com/2vfy4uh
June 26, 2010
Society, Management and Education SIG:
Topic: The Role of International Agreements on American Educational Policy
Speaker: Allen Quist - St. Peter, MN
Moderator: Ron Monroe
Abstract: How international education agreements are affecting education in the United States.
The presentation will focus on the following questions:
1. According to the UN, what is the purpose of education?
2. What are the two UN sponsored education agreement now affecting our education system?
3. How has the United States complied with these agreements?
4. How does International Baccalaureate fit into this international education system?
5. How does Race To The Top fit into this international education system?
6. What are the alternatives to international education?
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